The latest forecasts from the Association of European Economic Research Institutes (AIECE) indicate a clear slowdown in global economic growth in 2026, driven by persistent energy pressures, and weakening confidence. AIECE members project world growth to slow to 2.7% in 2026, down from 3.4% in 2025, as uncertainty continues to weigh on investment decisions and financial markets.
The euro area is expected to follow the same trend. Across AIECE institutes, the mean forecast for euro area GDP growth stands at 1.0% in 2026 (down from 1.5% in 2025), with a slight recovery to 1.3% in 2027. Forecasts for 2026 vary significantly, ranging from 0.5% to 1.4%, reflecting elevated uncertainty. 81% of institutes have revised forecasts downward, and three quarters see downside risks to their projections.
The Economic Institute of the Slovak Academy of Sciences expects the Slovak economy to grow by 0.5 percent of GDP in 2026. For 2027, we anticipate growth will accelerate to 1.3 percent of GDP. Slovakia ranks among the less dynamic economies in both the EU and the V4 region.
AIECE Press release: https://ekonom.sav.sk/dokumenty/aktuality/aiece_2026spring_generalreport_pressrelease.pdf
More information about the meeting: https://www.aiece.org/general-meetings